This was run generated at the end of the 2nd match day. The SPI values were from fivethirtyeight.com.
- Netherlands has clinched the 1st place in Group C.
- Italy, Belgium are at least top 2 in their groups and will advance to top 16 knock out stage.
- Wales, England, Czech Republic, Sweden are at least top 3 in their groups and most likely advance to top 16.
- France, Germany and Portugal in Group F have high chances to advance, probably one of them can advance as the 3rd ranking team.
- North Macedonia has no chance to advance.